https://www.investopedia.com/more-homebuyers-staying-put-7504743
The great pandemic reshuffle, which sent work-at-home buyers searching for their ideal towns, is settling down, as high mortgage rates and home prices persuade more potential homebuyers to stay put for now.
The number of Americans looking to move to a different part of the country is down 6% from a year earlier. In 2022, the number of Americans looking to relocate increased to 23%. The decrease over the last year is a symbol of just how much the housing market has cooled.
The number is even lower for those who are looking to move within the town they already live in, a 17% drop from the year before. As fewer Americans look to sell and purchase homes are faced with higher mortgage rates and home prices, the overall homebuying pie is smaller than it was this time last year, according to a Redfin report.
Both figures have fallen over the last year as the number of homebuyers in the U.S. declines, with sales dropping 22% from a year earlier in April. Still, a record 25.2% of Redfin users nationwide are looking to relocate, up from 22.8% last year. Many buyers are looking to leave their hometown or move to more affordable areas, such as migration from Los Angeles to Los Vegas or New York to Tampa.
High mortgage rates are less of a deterrent for those moving from more expensive areas to those with lower costs of living, the Redfin analysis found. For first-time buyers, lower costs of living in certain areas may even encourage moving to a different part of the country.
Sun Belt Cities Attracting Out-of-State Buyers
Phoenix and Miami are the most popular destinations for homebuyers looking to relocate, followed by Las Vegas, Tampa and Orlando. Five of the top 10 destinations are in Florida, and nearly all of them are in the Sun Belt. Florida was the fastest growing state in 2022, with warm weather, affordable areas of the state and low taxes enticing those from out-of-state.
With remote work and continued rising costs in coastal cities like San Francisco, Seattle or New York, Sun Belt destinations have grown more popular since the pandemic. New York is the most common origin for homebuyers moving to top destinations in Florida.
But with fewer homebuyers in the market generally and lowered inventory, the net inflow of homebuyers into Miami, for instance, is about 7,500 today, down from nearly 13,000 a year ago. The net inflow into Tampa is about 6,000 now, compared with about 9,000 a year ago, according to the report.
“About half of the people buying homes here are from out of town, and some are able to pay cash,” said Orlando Redfin Premier agent Nicole Dege. “That’s making it difficult for some locals to get their offers accepted, especially because many people have limited budgets due to high mortgage rates and there are so few homes coming on the market. Even though fewer people are coming in from out of town, there are also fewer homes for sale.”

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Skyrim SSE v1.6.640 CrashLoggerSSE v1-3-1-0 Nov 12 2022 12:44:49
Unhandled exception "EXCEPTION_ACCESS_VIOLATION" at 0x7FFF8022F380 OSA.dll+00EF380 mov rax, [rcx+0x40]
SYSTEM SPECS: OS: Microsoft Windows 10 Pro v10.0.19041 CPU: GenuineIntel Intel(R) Core(TM) i7-7700K CPU @ 4.20GHz GPU #1: Nvidia GA102 [GeForce RTX 3080] GPU #2: Microsoft Basic Render Driver PHYSICAL MEMORY: 15.07 GB/15.93 GB
PROBABLE CALL STACK: [0] 0x7FFF8022F380 OSA.dll+00EF380
REGISTERS: RAX 0x0 (size_t) [0] RCX 0x0 (size_t) [0] RDX 0x0 (size_t) [0] RBX 0x1B25E71EFF8 (void) RSP 0x71411F9A08 (void) RBP 0x71411F9B60 (char) "nvmc" RSI 0x71411F9C78 (void) RDI 0x1B25E71EEC0 (void) R8 0x1B28E963120 (void) R9 0x1 (size_t) [1] R10 0x0 (size_t) [0] R11 0x71411F9960 (void) R12 0x9A10F (size_t) [631055] R13 0x4 (size_t) [4] R14 0x0 (size_t) [0] R15 0x1B687BF4C24 (void)
STACK: [RSP+0 ] 0x7FFF8022EA39 (void* -> OSA.dll+00EEA39 xor ecx, ecx) [RSP+8 ] 0x7FFF802BB690 (void* -> OSA.dll+017B690 jo 0x00007FFF802BB694) [RSP+10 ] 0x20 (size_t) [32] [RSP+18 ] 0x1B6FFFFFFFF (size_t) [1885490642943] [RSP+20 ] 0x1B39CB94700 (char) "C:/WINDOWS/SYSTEM32/twinapi.appcore.dll" [RSP+28 ] 0x1B25E71EEC0 (void) [RSP+30 ] 0x7FFF801D5894 (void* -> OSA.dll+0095894 mov rcx, rax) [RSP+38 ] 0x1B262864D80 (void) [RSP+40 ] 0x71411F9AA0 (void) [RSP+48 ] 0x71411F9AA0 (void) [RSP+50 ] 0x71411F9C78 (void) [RSP+58 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+60 ] 0x71411F9A80 (void) [RSP+68 ] 0x71411F9AA0 (void) [RSP+70 ] 0x7FF6875C276D (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+0C6276D mov r13, rax) [RSP+78 ] 0x636D7600 (size_t) [1668118016] [RSP+80 ] 0x1B687C52750 (BSScript::Internal::CodeTasklet) [RSP+88 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+90 ] 0xF (size_t) [15] [RSP+98 ] 0x636D7600 (size_t) [1668118016] [RSP+A0 ] 0x1B687C52750 (BSScript::Internal::CodeTasklet) [RSP+A8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+B0 ] 0xF (size_t) [15] [RSP+B8 ] 0x7FF63F800000 (size_t) [140695604035584] [RSP+C0 ] 0x1B3A2B5D420 (void) [RSP+C8 ] 0x1B (size_t) [27] [RSP+D0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+D8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+E0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+E8 ] 0x3F (size_t) [63] [RSP+F0 ] 0x40 (size_t) [64] [RSP+F8 ] 0x71411F9B60 (char) "nvmc" [RSP+100 ] 0x5DE75DBE36F (size_t) [6453018223471] [RSP+108 ] 0x3EDD40CD (size_t) [1054687437] [RSP+110 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+118 ] 0x1B22F766100 (BSScript::Internal::VirtualMachine) [RSP+120 ] 0x1B234471080 (RE::NativeFunction) [RSP+128 ] 0x71411F9C78 (void) [RSP+130 ] 0x7FFF80212493 (void -> OSA.dll+00D2493 add rsp, 0x48) [RSP+138 ] 0x1B687BF4C24 (void) [RSP+140 ] 0x434D564E (size_t) [1129141838] [RSP+148 ] 0x71411F9B60 (char) "nvmc" [RSP+150 ] 0x71411F9D40 (void) [RSP+158 ] 0x636D766E (size_t) [1668118126] [RSP+160 ] 0x1B687C52750 (BSScript::Internal::CodeTasklet) [RSP+168 ] 0x4 (size_t) [4] [RSP+170 ] 0xF (size_t) [15] [RSP+178 ] 0x71411F9D40 (void) [RSP+180 ] 0x7FFF801E8124 (void -> OSA.dll+00A8124 movaps xmm6, xmm0) [RSP+188 ] 0x1B687BF4C24 (void) [RSP+190 ] 0x71411F9D40 (void) [RSP+198 ] 0x71411F9C78 (void) [RSP+1A0 ] 0x1B687BF4C24 (void) [RSP+1A8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+1B0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+1B8 ] 0x434D5600 (size_t) [1129141760] [RSP+1C0 ] 0x1B687C52750 (BSScript::Internal::CodeTasklet) [RSP+1C8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+1D0 ] 0xF (size_t) [15] [RSP+1D8 ] 0x71411F9BC0 (void) [RSP+1E0 ] 0x434D5600 (size_t) [1129141760] [RSP+1E8 ] 0x1B687C52750 (BSScript::Internal::CodeTasklet) [RSP+1F0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+1F8 ] 0xF (size_t) [15] [RSP+200 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+208 ] 0x5DE75DBE2BF (size_t) [6453018223295] [RSP+210 ] 0x1B23456C280 (BSScript::NativeFunction1) Function: "RegisterForSingleUpdate" Object: "Form" [RSP+218 ] 0x3EDD40CD (size_t) [1054687437] [RSP+220 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+228 ] 0x1B234471080 (RE::NativeFunction) [RSP+230 ] 0x7FF687CD8015 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+1378015 test al, al) [RSP+238 ] 0x14 (size_t) [20] [RSP+240 ] 0x14 (size_t) [20] [RSP+248 ] 0x71411FA560 (void) [RSP+250 ] 0x14 (size_t) [20] [RSP+258 ] 0x71411F9C78 (void) [RSP+260 ] 0x1B687BF4C24 (void) [RSP+268 ] 0x1B264367DB0 (void) [RSP+270 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+278 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+280 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+288 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+290 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+298 ] 0x7420656C62616E55 (size_t) [8367799623835807317] [RSP+2A0 ] 0x52206C6C6163206F (size_t) [5917849123110985839] [RSP+2A8 ] 0x4672657473696765 (size_t) [5076231280826869605] [RSP+2B0 ] 0x656C676E6953726F (size_t) [7308330019226612335] [RSP+2B8 ] 0x2D20657461647055 (size_t) [3251710481486082133] [RSP+2C0 ] 0x6974616E206F6E20 (size_t) [7598805596899339808] [RSP+2C8 ] 0x63656A626F206576 (size_t) [7162247753406375286] [RSP+2D0 ] 0x20646E756F622074 (size_t) [2334111957543690356] [RSP+2D8 ] 0x7320656874206F74 (size_t) [8295742012915740532] [RSP+2E0 ] 0x626F207470697263 (size_t) [7092923622606074467] [RSP+2E8 ] 0x726F202C7463656A (size_t) [8245844818041988458] [RSP+2F0 ] 0x207463656A626F20 (size_t) [2338603393739812640] [RSP+2F8 ] 0x6E6920666F207369 (size_t) [7955925841049842537] [RSP+300 ] 0x2074636572726F63 (size_t) [2338603393875079011] [RSP+308 ] 0x10065707974 (size_t) [1101213497716] [RSP+310 ] 0x7FF687CE937F (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+138937F nop) [RSP+318 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+320 ] 0x71411F9D60 (void) [RSP+328 ] 0x1B3EA5A6900 (void) [RSP+330 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+338 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+340 ] 0x3F800000 (size_t) [1065353216] [RSP+348 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+350 ] 0x1B3EA01A780 (void) [RSP+358 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+360 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+368 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+370 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+378 ] 0x71411F9E10 (char) "stack: [None].CLWObjectFollowTargetScript.getDistance() - "" Line ? [None].CLWObjectFollowTargetScript.OnUpdate() - "CLWObjectFollowTargetScript.psc" Line 41" [RSP+380 ] 0x7FF80DFC5013 (void* -> ucrtbase.dll+0005013 mov rax, [rsp+0x28]) [RSP+388 ] 0x71411F9E10 (char) "stack: [None].CLWObjectFollowTargetScript.getDistance() - "" Line ? [None].CLWObjectFollowTargetScript.OnUpdate() - "CLWObjectFollowTargetScript.psc" Line 41" [RSP+390 ] 0x1B264368518 (void) [RSP+398 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+3A0 ] 0x6F7420656C62616E (size_t) [8031079655490609518] [RSP+3A8 ] 0x6567206C6C616320 (size_t) [7306844570478797600] [RSP+3B0 ] 0x636E617473694474 (size_t) [7164771209973417076] [RSP+3B8 ] 0x6E206F6E202D2065 (size_t) [7935465062203727973] [RSP+3C0 ] 0x626F206576697461 (size_t) [7092923558282228833] [RSP+3C8 ] 0x756F62207463656A (size_t) [8462090116383597930] [RSP+3D0 ] 0x6874206F7420646E (size_t) [7526676540304680046] [RSP+3D8 ] 0x7470697263732065 (size_t) [8390322045806911589] [RSP+3E0 ] 0x2C7463656A626F20 (size_t) [3203294522194947872] [RSP+3E8 ] 0x656A626F20726F20 (size_t) [7307761574787313440] [RSP+3F0 ] 0x666F207369207463 (size_t) [7381153994340594787] [RSP+3F8 ] 0x6572726F636E6920 (size_t) [7310030967910852896] [RSP+400 ] 0xA65707974207463 (size_t) [749128579968693347] [RSP+408 ] 0x90A3A6B63617473 (size_t) [651397329011700851] [RSP+410 ] 0x432E5D656E6F4E5B (size_t) [4840909339695730267] [RSP+418 ] 0x7463656A624F574C (size_t) [8386658438684301132] [RSP+420 ] 0x6154776F6C6C6F46 (size_t) [7013361840166825798] [RSP+428 ] 0x6972635374656772 (size_t) [7598244731413686130] [RSP+430 ] 0x69447465672E7470 (size_t) [7585315651270374512] [RSP+438 ] 0x292865636E617473 (size_t) [2965731832351519859] [RSP+440 ] 0x74616E3C22202D20 (size_t) [8386105185690201376] [RSP+448 ] 0x694C20223E657669 (size_t) [7587474803660256873] [RSP+450 ] 0x4E5B090A3F20656E (size_t) [5646116497452459374] [RSP+458 ] 0x574C432E5D656E6F (size_t) [6290476645944225391] [RSP+460 ] 0x6F467463656A624F (size_t) [8018224156831801935] [RSP+468 ] 0x67726154776F6C6C (size_t) [7454127348660530284] [RSP+470 ] 0x7470697263537465 (size_t) [8390322045804835941] [RSP+478 ] 0x74616470556E4F2E (size_t) [8386094414772981550] [RSP+480 ] 0x4322202D20292865 (size_t) [4837464327934519397] [RSP+488 ] 0x7463656A624F574C (size_t) [8386658438684301132] [RSP+490 ] 0x6154776F6C6C6F46 (size_t) [7013361840166825798] [RSP+498 ] 0x6972635374656772 (size_t) [7598244731413686130] [RSP+4A0 ] 0x20226373702E7470 (size_t) [2315522505876337776] [RSP+4A8 ] 0x313420656E694C (size_t) [13849587604154700] [RSP+4B0 ] 0x353320656E694C (size_t) [14974387999369548] [RSP+4B8 ] 0x6 (size_t) [6] [RSP+4C0 ] 0x4 (size_t) [4] [RSP+4C8 ] 0x71411F9FF8 (BSTArrayAllocatorFunctor) [RSP+4D0 ] 0x6353726F0000005F (size_t) [7157190053888786527] [RSP+4D8 ] 0x15C (size_t) [348] [RSP+4E0 ] 0x7FFF845757C3 (void -> tbbmalloc.dll+00157C3 mov rbp, rax) [RSP+4E8 ] 0x3FF0000000000000 (size_t) [4607182418800017408] [RSP+4F0 ] 0x71411FA010 (void) [RSP+4F8 ] 0x71411F9F60 (void) [RSP+500 ] 0x1B68720E538 (void) [RSP+508 ] 0x10 (size_t) [16] [RSP+510 ] 0x700000000 (size_t) [30064771072] [RSP+518 ] 0x3 (size_t) [3] [RSP+520 ] 0x7FF8101BB86B (void -> ntdll.dll+002B86B mov ecx, eax) [RSP+528 ] 0x4B0291 (size_t) [4915857] [RSP+530 ] 0x83 (size_t) [131] [RSP+538 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+540 ] 0x400 (size_t) [1024] [RSP+548 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+550 ] 0x71411FA5F0 (void) [RSP+558 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+560 ] 0x1B22F766100 (BSScript::Internal::VirtualMachine) [RSP+568 ] 0x71411FA080 (void) [RSP+570 ] 0x7FFF7FFC4545 (void -> PapyrusTweaks.dll+0004545 add rsp, 0x518 C:\Modding\SKSEDevelopment\PapyrusTweaks\src\LoggerHooks.h:44 [email protected]@LoggerHooks@@[email protected]@RE@@[email protected]@[email protected]@@VB[email protected]@@[email protected]@Z) [RSP+578 ] 0x71411FA530 (void) [RSP+580 ] 0x71411FA578 (void) [RSP+588 ] 0x14 (size_t) [20] [RSP+590 ] 0x1B68720D260 (void) [RSP+598 ] 0x71411FA058 (void) [RSP+5A0 ] 0x7FF686C9CC8F (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+033CC8F nop) [RSP+5A8 ] 0x1B600000400 (void) [RSP+5B0 ] 0x1B264368518 (void) [RSP+5B8 ] 0x1B22F766300 (void) [RSP+5C0 ] 0x7FF687CF9213 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+1399213 cmp [rbx], eax) [RSP+5C8 ] 0x71411FA578 (void) [RSP+5D0 ] 0x71411FA530 (void) [RSP+5D8 ] 0x14 (size_t) [20] [RSP+5E0 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+5E8 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+5F0 ] 0x7FF687F7A598 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+161A598 nop) [RSP+5F8 ] 0x1B22F76E360 (void) [RSP+600 ] 0x1B687DCA340 (void) [RSP+608 ] 0x1B687DCA300 (void) [RSP+610 ] 0x7FF687CE937F (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+138937F nop) [RSP+618 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+620 ] 0x71411FA060 (void) [RSP+628 ] 0x71411FA060 (void) [RSP+630 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+638 ] 0x71411FA134 (char) "nionsAliasFillInit.RegisterForSingleUpdate() - "" Line ? [None].SDA_CompanionsAliasFillInit.OnUpdate() - "SDA_CompanionsAliasFillInit.psc" Line 13" [RSP+640 ] 0x7FF6875C276D (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+0C6276D mov r13, rax) [RSP+648 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+650 ] 0x1B2ACB93880 (char) " " [RSP+658 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+660 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+668 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+670 ] 0x7FFF84573911 (void -> tbbmalloc.dll+0013911 xor ecx, ecx) [RSP+678 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+680 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+688 ] 0x1B264368518 (void) [RSP+690 ] 0x1B264368518 (void) [RSP+698 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+6A0 ] 0x6F7420656C62616E (size_t) [8031079655490609518] [RSP+6A8 ] 0x6552206C6C616320 (size_t) [7300933595967873824] [RSP+6B0 ] 0x6F46726574736967 (size_t) [8018221966650730855] [RSP+6B8 ] 0x55656C676E695372 (size_t) [6153443657361478514] [RSP+6C0 ] 0x202D206574616470 (size_t) [2318545003281998960] [RSP+6C8 ] 0x766974616E206F6E (size_t) [8532478930838384494] [RSP+6D0 ] 0x7463656A626F2065 (size_t) [8386658438686384229] [RSP+6D8 ] 0x7420646E756F6220 (size_t) [8367798533233795616] [RSP+6E0 ] 0x637320656874206F (size_t) [7166107051992817775] [RSP+6E8 ] 0x6A626F2074706972 (size_t) [7665811700921166194] [RSP+6F0 ] 0x20726F202C746365 (size_t) [2338053340534170469] [RSP+6F8 ] 0x69207463656A626F (size_t) [7575182543489229423] [RSP+700 ] 0x636E6920666F2073 (size_t) [7164779645071466611] [RSP+708 ] 0x742074636572726F (size_t) [8367816077906965103] [RSP+710 ] 0x636174730A657079 (size_t) [7161132919940280441] [RSP+718 ] 0x6E6F4E5B090A3A6B (size_t) [7957665219487611499] [RSP+720 ] 0x435F4144532E5D65 (size_t) [4854670685037813093] [RSP+728 ] 0x6E6F696E61706D6F (size_t) [7957694989389032815] [RSP+730 ] 0x69467361696C4173 (size_t) [7585877484569903475] [RSP+738 ] 0x522E74696E496C6C (size_t) [5921798556209474668] [RSP+740 ] 0x4672657473696765 (size_t) [5076231280826869605] [RSP+748 ] 0x656C676E6953726F (size_t) [7308330019226612335] [RSP+750 ] 0x2928657461647055 (size_t) [2965731905148055637] [RSP+758 ] 0x74616E3C22202D20 (size_t) [8386105185690201376] [RSP+760 ] 0x694C20223E657669 (size_t) [7587474803660256873] [RSP+768 ] 0x4E5B090A3F20656E (size_t) [5646116497452459374] [RSP+770 ] 0x4144532E5D656E6F (size_t) [4702975369482169967] [RSP+778 ] 0x696E61706D6F435F (size_t) [7597116756920845151] [RSP+780 ] 0x7361696C41736E6F (size_t) [8314042300778114671] [RSP+788 ] 0x74696E496C6C6946 (size_t) [8388357042584971590] [RSP+790 ] 0x74616470556E4F2E (size_t) [8386094414772981550] [RSP+798 ] 0x5322202D20292865 (size_t) [5990385832541366373] [RSP+7A0 ] 0x61706D6F435F4144 (size_t) [7021232143709716804] [RSP+7A8 ] 0x696C41736E6F696E (size_t) [7596518635497023854] [RSP+7B0 ] 0x6E496C6C69467361 (size_t) [7947002230350443361] [RSP+7B8 ] 0x20226373702E7469 (size_t) [2315522505876337769] [RSP+7C0 ] 0x333120656E694C (size_t) [14409239022692684] [RSP+7C8 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+7D0 ] 0x7FF687CE8FE5 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+1388FE5 nop) [RSP+7D8 ] 0x1B3EA9DDF00 (void) [RSP+7E0 ] 0x7FFF845757C3 (void -> tbbmalloc.dll+00157C3 mov rbp, rax) [RSP+7E8 ] 0x1B687C153A0 (void) [RSP+7F0 ] 0x71411FA2E0 (void) [RSP+7F8 ] 0x71411FA238 (void) [RSP+800 ] 0x71411FA278 (void) [RSP+808 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+810 ] 0x734526600 (size_t) [30942586368] [RSP+818 ] 0x1B3EA9DDF00 (void) [RSP+820 ] 0x6972635300000000 (size_t) [7598244729460883456] [RSP+828 ] 0x1B2344DCA60 (BSScript::NativeFunction1) Function: "getDistance" Object: "ObjectReference" [RSP+830 ] 0x1B200000083 (void) [RSP+838 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+840 ] 0x7FFF845757C3 (void -> tbbmalloc.dll+00157C3 mov rbp, rax) [RSP+848 ] 0x79616C5074736575 (size_t) [8746391044137117045] [RSP+850 ] 0x1B23458FF00 (char) "a@" [RSP+858 ] 0x71411FA2C0 (void) [RSP+860 ] 0x1B264368518 (void) [RSP+868 ] 0x71411FA3D0 (void) [RSP+870 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+878 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+880 ] 0x84 (size_t) [132] [RSP+888 ] 0x80 (size_t) [128] [RSP+890 ] 0x7FFF8457372E (void* -> tbbmalloc.dll+001372E mov rdi, rax) [RSP+898 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+8A0 ] 0x6432434C4422202D (size_t) [7219907147467989037] [RSP+8A8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+8B0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+8B8 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+8C0 ] 0x7FF689922D18 (BSScript::SimpleAllocMemoryPagePolicy) [RSP+8C8 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+8D0 ] 0x7FF687CD20FB (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+13720FB jmp 0x00007FF687CD20FF) [RSP+8D8 ] 0x71411FA3F8 (void) [RSP+8E0 ] 0x7FF6875C276D (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+0C6276D mov r13, rax) [RSP+8E8 ] 0x7FF68994A3A0 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+2FEA3A0 add [rax], al) [RSP+8F0 ] 0x7FF687CBFBFD (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+135FBFD mov eax, [rdi]) [RSP+8F8 ] 0x1B264367DB0 (void) [RSP+900 ] 0x1B687BF4C74 (void) [RSP+908 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+910 ] 0x71411FA3D0 (void) [RSP+918 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+920 ] 0x1B264368518 (void) [RSP+928 ] 0x71411FA578 (void) [RSP+930 ] 0x71411FA501 (void) [RSP+938 ] 0x1B687BAC350 (void) [RSP+940 ] 0x1B687BF4C74 (void) [RSP+948 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+950 ] 0x7FF6875C14E2 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+0C614E2 nop) [RSP+958 ] 0x71411FA3F8 (void) [RSP+960 ] 0x4 (size_t) [4] [RSP+968 ] 0x1B264367DB0 (void) [RSP+970 ] 0x1B68720D278 (void) [RSP+978 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+980 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+988 ] 0x1B264367DB0 (void) [RSP+990 ] 0x7FF687CBFC8F (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+135FC8F jmp 0x00007FF687CBFDDC) [RSP+998 ] 0x1B264367DB0 (void) [RSP+9A0 ] 0x1B687BF4C74 (void) [RSP+9A8 ] 0x1B687BF4C24 (void) [RSP+9B0 ] 0x1B68720D260 (void) [RSP+9B8 ] 0x1B26FD92F20 (void) [RSP+9C0 ] 0x7FFF8014479E (void -> OSA.dll+000479E mov rbx, [rsp+0xB0]) [RSP+9C8 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+9D0 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+9D8 ] 0x1B687BF4C24 (void) [RSP+9E0 ] 0x7FF687CCACE9 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+136ACE9 mov rbx, [rsp+0x98]) [RSP+9E8 ] 0x1B600000014 (void) [RSP+9F0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+9F8 ] 0x198CB (size_t) [104651] [RSP+A00 ] 0x1B68720D260 (void) [RSP+A08 ] 0x71411FA480 (void) [RSP+A10 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+A18 ] 0x1B687BAC340 (void) [RSP+A20 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+A28 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+A30 ] 0x1B68720D260 (void) [RSP+A38 ] 0x198CB (size_t) [104651] [RSP+A40 ] 0x7FFF8015861E (void -> OSA.dll+001861E mov rdx, rbx) [RSP+A48 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+A50 ] 0x1B22F766100 (BSScript::Internal::VirtualMachine) [RSP+A58 ] 0x5DE75DBDAFF (size_t) [6453018221311] [RSP+A60 ] 0x7FF687CCC839 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+136C839 mov rbp, [rsp+0x78]) [RSP+A68 ] 0x1B22F766100 (BSScript::Internal::VirtualMachine) [RSP+A70 ] 0x7FFF80235665 (void -> OSA.dll+00F5665 lea r10, [rbx+rax1]) [RSP+A78 ] 0x7FF686960000 (void) [RSP+A80 ] 0x71411FA538 (void) [RSP+A88 ] 0x71411FA578 (void) [RSP+A90 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+A98 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+AA0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+AA8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+AB0 ] 0x71411FF668 (void) [RSP+AB8 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+AC0 ] 0x1B22F766100 (BSScript::Internal::VirtualMachine) [RSP+AC8 ] 0x71411FA5E0 (void) [RSP+AD0 ] 0x7FF687CE8D09 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+1388D09 mov r14d, eax) [RSP+AD8 ] 0x1B68720D260 (void) [RSP+AE0 ] 0x7100000014 (size_t) [485331304468] [RSP+AE8 ] 0x7FF689922D78 (SkyrimScript::Logger) [RSP+AF0 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+AF8 ] 0x71411FA500 (void) [RSP+B00 ] 0x71411FA578 (void) [RSP+B08 ] 0x1B23447D768 (char) "PlayExpression" [RSP+B10 ] 0x1B234479040 (void) [RSP+B18 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+B20 ] 0x7100000001 (size_t) [485331304449] [RSP+B28 ] 0x1B234471080 (RE::NativeFunction) [RSP+B30 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+B38 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+B40 ] 0x14 (size_t) [20] [RSP+B48 ] 0x71411FA5A8 (void) [RSP+B50 ] 0x1B23458FEC0 (void) [RSP+B58 ] 0x1B68720D260 (void) [RSP+B60 ] 0x1B3E0A61640 (char) " " [RSP+B68 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+B70 ] 0x1B264368480 (ScrapHeap) [RSP+B78 ] 0x1B687BAC340 (void) [RSP+B80 ] 0x7FF600000002 (size_t) [140694538682370] [RSP+B88 ] 0x1B200000002 (void) [RSP+B90 ] 0x1B264368518 (void) [RSP+B98 ] 0xFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFE (size_t) [uint: 18446744073709551614 int: -2] [RSP+BA0 ] 0x3FF0000000000000 (size_t) [4607182418800017408] [RSP+BA8 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+BB0 ] 0x71411FC808 (void) [RSP+BB8 ] 0x6664252E2525 (size_t) [112580306543909] [RSP+BC0 ] 0x7FF687913C9C (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+0FB3C9C mov rdx, [rbx+0x28]) [RSP+BC8 ] 0x71411FC808 (void) [RSP+BD0 ] 0x71411FC808 (void) [RSP+BD8 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+BE0 ] 0x7FF687551A53 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+0BF1A53 movsxd rdx, dword ptr [rbx]) [RSP+BE8 ] 0x71411FF600 (void) [RSP+BF0 ] 0x7FF6879BBECE (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+105BECE test rbx, rbx) [RSP+BF8 ] 0xCFE96BD66AF5 (size_t) [228601443543797] [RSP+C00 ] 0x18 (size_t) [24] [RSP+C08 ] 0x1B22B6971C0 (void) [RSP+C10 ] 0xFFFF00000000 (size_t) [281470681743360] [RSP+C18 ] 0x1B588399F80 (void) [RSP+C20 ] 0x7FF687A35640 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+10D5640 mov rax, [rsp+0x60]) [RSP+C28 ] 0xE (size_t) [14] [RSP+C30 ] 0xBA (size_t) [186] [RSP+C38 ] 0x1B594D3D380 (void) [RSP+C40 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+C48 ] 0x7FF687551A53 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+0BF1A53 movsxd rdx, dword ptr [rbx]) [RSP+C50 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+C58 ] 0xE0 (size_t) [224] [RSP+C60 ] 0x7FF687A357B5 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+10D57B5 mov rbx, [rsp+0x60]) [RSP+C68 ] 0x1B594D3D180 (void) [RSP+C70 ] 0x7FF6879BDC51 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+105DC51 test rax, rax) [RSP+C78 ] 0x1B22B697198 (void) [RSP+C80 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+C88 ] 0x71411FA6D8 (void) [RSP+C90 ] 0x71411FF6F0 (void) [RSP+C98 ] 0x7FF687551A53 (void -> SkyrimSE.exe+0BF1A53 movsxd rdx, dword ptr [rbx]) [RSP+CA0 ] 0x71411FA7B0 (void) [RSP+CA8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+CB0 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+CB8 ] 0x1B22B697198 (void) [RSP+CC0 ] 0x7FF6879BDD8E (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+105DD8E sub qword ptr [rsi+0x20], 0x01) [RSP+CC8 ] 0x1B3FE0B3DC0 (void) [RSP+CD0 ] 0x1B588399F80 (void) [RSP+CD8 ] 0x1B588399F80 (void) [RSP+CE0 ] 0xDF (size_t) [223] [RSP+CE8 ] 0x1B22B6970C0 (void) [RSP+CF0 ] 0x7FF6879022A5 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+0FA22A5 mov rbx, [rsp+0x30]) [RSP+CF8 ] 0x1B3FE0B3DC0 (void) [RSP+D00 ] 0x71411FA7B0 (void) [RSP+D08 ] 0x1B3FE0B3DC0 (void) [RSP+D10 ] 0x1B594D3D180 (void) [RSP+D18 ] 0x8080 (size_t) [32896] [RSP+D20 ] 0x7FF6879E5B48 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+1085B48 lea r11, [rsp+0x4F20]) [RSP+D28 ] 0x1B3FE0B3DC0 (void) [RSP+D30 ] 0x71411FA830 (void) [RSP+D38 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+D40 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+D48 ] 0x1B3FE0B3DC0 (void) [RSP+D50 ] 0x7FF80DFD1E35 (void -> ucrtbase.dll+0011E35 add rsp, 0x68) [RSP+D58 ] 0xC1A9E842C000C301 (size_t) [uint: 13954940293770953473 int: -4491803779938598143] [RSP+D60 ] 0x1B594D3D180 (void) [RSP+D68 ] 0xCF (size_t) [207] [RSP+D70 ] 0x200 (size_t) [512] [RSP+D78 ] 0x200 (size_t) [512] [RSP+D80 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+D88 ] 0x1B22B6970C0 (void) [RSP+D90 ] 0xBF0AFA6C (size_t) [3205167724] [RSP+D98 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+DA0 ] 0x1B3FE0B3CE8 (void) [RSP+DA8 ] 0x1B3FD83FFC0 (char) " " [RSP+DB0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+DB8 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+DC0 ] 0x1B3FE0B3DC0 (void) [RSP+DC8 ] 0x1B3FE0B3D90 (void) [RSP+DD0 ] 0x1B3FE0B3D90 (void) [RSP+DD8 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+DE0 ] 0x1B3FE0B3D70 (void) [RSP+DE8 ] 0x2 (size_t) [2] [RSP+DF0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+DF8 ] 0x3240ACE9 (size_t) [843099369] [RSP+E00 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+E08 ] 0x163D541860 (size_t) [95518201952] [RSP+E10 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+E18 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+E20 ] 0x7FF687551A53 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+0BF1A53 movsxd rdx, dword ptr [rbx]) [RSP+E28 ] 0x1B3FE0B3CD0 (void) [RSP+E30 ] 0x1B3FD83FE20 (void) [RSP+E38 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+E40 ] 0x71411FF6F0 (void) [RSP+E48 ] 0x7100000001 (size_t) [485331304449] [RSP+E50 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+E58 ] 0x1B21EFD7D70 (void) [RSP+E60 ] 0x7FF800000001 (size_t) [140703128616961] [RSP+E68 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+E70 ] 0x3A831200 (size_t) [981668352] [RSP+E78 ] 0x8000000000000001 (size_t) [uint: 9223372036854775809 int: -9223372036854775807] [RSP+E80 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+E88 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+E90 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+E98 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+EA0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+EA8 ] 0x41A000A0 (size_t) [1101004960] [RSP+EB0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+EB8 ] 0x421D02BF (size_t) [1109197503] [RSP+EC0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+EC8 ] 0x3F800000 (size_t) [1065353216] [RSP+ED0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+ED8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+EE0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+EE8 ] 0x7F7FFFEE (size_t) [2139095022] [RSP+EF0 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+EF8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+F00 ] 0x1B21EBAD0C0 (void) [RSP+F08 ] 0x71411FABA0 (void) [RSP+F10 ] 0x1B21EBAD0A0 (void) [RSP+F18 ] 0x1B21EBAD000 (void) [RSP+F20 ] 0x71411FABB0 (void) [RSP+F28 ] 0x1B21EBAD0C0 (void) [RSP+F30 ] 0x71411FB280 (void) [RSP+F38 ] 0x1B200000001 (void) [RSP+F40 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+F48 ] 0x1B23D614670 (size_t) [1865045591664] [RSP+F50 ] 0x1B200000001 (void) [RSP+F58 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+F60 ] 0x1B23ED2DE50 (size_t) [1865069813328] [RSP+F68 ] 0x7100000001 (size_t) [485331304449] [RSP+F70 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+F78 ] 0x80000000 (size_t) [2147483648] [RSP+F80 ] 0x3D61467000000001 (size_t) [4422893755904819201] [RSP+F88 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+F90 ] 0x30000000F (size_t) [12884901903] [RSP+F98 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+FA0 ] 0x7FF687436531 (void* -> SkyrimSE.exe+0AD6531 movzx eax, r15w) [RSP+FA8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+FB0 ] 0x3F00000800000001 (size_t) [4539628458749198337] [RSP+FB8 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+FC0 ] 0x3F000008BF56E2EB (size_t) [4539628461959340779] [RSP+FC8 ] 0x0 (size_t) [0] [RSP+FD0 ] 0x3D19EB12BD19EB12 (size_t) [4402808576445901586] [RSP+FD8 ] 0x1 (size_t) [1] [RSP+FE0 ] 0x7FF600000001 (size_t) [140694538682369] [RSP+FE8 ] 0x71411FA768 (void) [RSP+FF0 ] 0x1B21EB538D0 (void) [RSP+FF8 ] 0x8 (size_t) [8] [RSP+1000] 0x1B648833100 (NiNode)

After two seasons and four years ahead of schedule leaving the company in "a terrible position". His planned engagements in The Exterminating Angel and Lohengrin are apparently up in the air.
​

Gustavo Dudamel, Star Maestro, to Resign From Paris Opera

The conductor will depart in August, the opera house said, four years ahead of schedule and after just two seasons in the job.
By Javier C. Hernández for New York Times
May 25, 2023
Gustavo Dudamel, the superstar maestro, will resign his post as music director of the Paris Opera in August, four years ahead of schedule and after just two seasons in the job, the company announced on Thursday.
Dudamel, 42, who also leads the Los Angeles Philharmonic and will take over as music and artistic director of the New York Philharmonic in 2026, said he was stepping down to spend more time with his family.
“It is with a heavy heart and after long consideration that I announce my resignation,” he said in a statement. “I have no plans other than to be with my loved ones, to whom I am deeply grateful for helping me to continue to be strong in my resolve to grow and remain challenged, both personally and artistically, each and every day.”
Dudamel’s two-year tenure will be one of the shortest in the Paris Opera’s recent history. His abrupt departure is unusual in the classical music industry, where conductors generally serve the duration of their contracts and seasons are typically planned years in advance. His resignation comes a few months after he made the surprise announcement that he would leave his post in Los Angeles, which he has held since 2009, for New York, when his contract expires at the end of the 2025-26 season.
Alexander Neef, the general director of the Paris Opera, praised Dudamel’s “special relationship” with the orchestra and said he respected his choice. He said in an interview that Dudamel had expressed concerns beginning in January about his ability to fulfill his duties, including devoting the time needed for the intense performance and rehearsal schedule that opera demands.
”In the end, he reached a conclusion that he could just not give to the institution what he believes the institution requires,” Neef said.
Over the past several months, Neef proposed ways to keep Dudamel in Paris.
“I did not try to twist his arm,” Neef said. “We played with different scenarios and arrangements of the schedule. But in the end, he just felt it was not sufficient for him to be able to own the title.”
Dudamel’s representatives said on Thursday that he was unavailable for an interview.
The opera house and Dudamel are still discussing what to do about his planned engagements for the 2023-24 season. He had been scheduled to lead a new production of Wagner’s “Lohengrin” and the Paris premiere of “The Exterminating Angel” by Thomas Adès, as well as several concerts with the orchestra.
Dudamel’s departure creates the possibility that he might deepen his commitment to the New York Philharmonic earlier than expected. Because of scheduling conflicts, he had not been planning to have much of a presence in New York until the 2026-27 season. Dudamel, who led the orchestra in Mahler’s Ninth Symphony last week, has no engagements in New York next season.
Deborah Borda, the Philharmonic’s president and chief executive, who helped start Dudamel’s career in Los Angeles nearly two decades ago and persuaded him to take the job in New York, said she hoped he would now be able to spend more time with the orchestra starting next season but that nothing had been discussed.
“He’s very clear that he doesn’t want to make that decision now,” she said in an interview.
When Dudamel took the New York job, some in the industry speculated that he was seeking to reduce his commute to Paris. But Borda said that Dudamel, who was born in Venezuela, had realized during the pandemic that he wanted to spend more time in Spain, which is now home to his wife, his 12-year-old son, his parents and his grandmother.
“No doubt he’ll take some criticism,” she said of his decision to resign. “But I think it’s a bold and important move.”
In Paris, Dudamel led high-profile productions of contemporary operas like John Adams’s “Nixon in China” and classics like Puccini’s “Turandot.” He appeared to be well regarded by the orchestra’s musicians and by Neef, though he sometimes earned mixed reviews from European critics. A production of Wagner’s “Tristan und Isolde” that he conducted earlier this year made headlines when its soprano was booed.
The opera house also appears to be grappling with some financial pressures. Planned appearances by the Paris Opera orchestra in London and Vienna in April were abruptly canceled. The Barbican Center in London said it was “due to factors that are currently making touring financially challenging” for the ensemble.
His appointment in 2021, for an initial term of six seasons, was considered a coup for the company, founded in 1669 as the Académie d’Opéra by Louis XIV. It was an unlikely union, given Dudamel’s packed schedule and frequent commitments in Los Angeles. And while he had earned fame and accolades as a symphonic conductor, he had less experience in opera.
Dudamel said at the time that he felt chemistry with the Paris Opera after his company debut in 2017 with “La Bohème.”
“I felt this connection with the house, the musicians, the choir, with the whole team,” he said in an interview with The New York Times in 2021. “I was here for one month and a half and I was feeling like I was at home.”
The departure of Dudamel leaves the Paris Opera in a difficult position. Neef said that the orchestra would rely on guest conductors to help fill gaps in coming seasons, and that the company would soon begin a search for a permanent leader with “the goal of finding the best person rather than the most readily available.”
“We are strong enough to go through this period while we look for someone new,” he said.
The company informed its 175 musicians of Dudamel’s decision on Thursday. Neef said some had noticed a change in their relationship with Dudamel over the past few months and were relieved that there was now a resolution.
“They were expecting something to happen,” he said. “There’s disappointment and sadness, but it’s also a moment of relief to know what’s been going on.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/25/arts/music/gustavo-dudamel-to-resign-from-paris-opera.html

No one can ever predict a Bill Belichick draft.
When people start assuming he’ll act based on his stereotypes (first-round trade down, OL early, no early WRs, all Alabama players or small school guys or guys from Rutgers), he’ll do the opposite. When the consensus is that he’ll shift away from those stereotypes, he’ll lean right into them.
So in observing mock drafts, both full and team-centric, there was a lot of accord that he would follow those stereotypes. (Adam Korsak, both a punter and from Rutgers, was EVERYWHERE.)
But then the end of April came.
Before then, New England had suffered a 2022 season full of embarrassment, from Matt Patricia and Joe Judge’s ineptitude at running the offense to a team that seemed to find new ways to lose in humiliating fashion (a certain ill-fated lateral sequence peak among them). The Patriots went from their dynastic reign as a team which would trounce their opponents in laughers to the team that everyone pointed and laughed at. Mac Jones’ Patricia- and Judge-sparked regression along with impressive cameo appearances by ‘22 rookie Bailey Zappe split the fanbase into Mac and Zappe camps, with sports media fueling the flame by spreading or outright fabricating rumors of Belichick shopping Mac, rumors which lasted through the first day of the draft. It was an ugly season and an uglier start to the offseason.
The franchise clearly needed to make changes in 2023, and changes started near the top. Patricia and Judge lost their roles, the former joining the Eagles coaching staff and the latter moving to lead special teams, a necessary move as this Belichick-led squad had plummeted to the lowest-ranked third unit. (More on that later.) Patricia had filled the dual roles of de facto offensive coordinator and facto offensive line coach, and filled both roles with the acumen of me designing plays in Backyard Football 2002, except I could actually design plays that resulted in touchdowns. Judge had manned the quarterbacks room, and given that Daniel Jones finally broke out for the Giants once Judge had been booted from mentoring him, you can guess how that went for Mac and the Pats. In his new role in charge of special teams, he has already cost the team two OTAs and Bill Belichick $50,000 for an offseason meetings violation, and has elevated his 2022 title of Co-Most Hated Man in Foxboro to Single Most Hated Man in Foxboro.
Anyway, New England needed to fill their old roles, and brought in:
Bill O’Brien, Offensive Coordinator / Quarterbacks Coach A long-time friend of Belichick’s, O’Brien returns for his second stint as Pats OC, having dictated the offense in Rob Gronkowski’s record-setting 2011 season. Additionally, O’Brien comes by way of running the offense and the QB room at the University of Alabama, which spawned Mac Jones. Mac regressed in 2022 after an impressive 2021, but recall that 2022 was under the abysmal leadership of Patricia (calling his plays) and Judge (his direct coach), a situation in which no one could develop. By bringing in his old OC and QB coach, Mac has been put in the best possible position to develop in ‘23, a position which will much more clearly give fans a vision of his future as an NFL quarterback. (And the playcalling will be legitimate! It’s been but a year and we have already forgotten what creativity, route concepts, and misdirection have looked like!)
Adrian Klemm, Offensive Line Coach Belichick’s first draft pick after taking the helm in New England in 2000, Klemm has joined the team after coaching at Oregon last year. He comes with a strong reputation at that coaching position, having headed a Ducks O-line that allowed just five sacks in 2022. Last season, the Patriots saw a regression from their veterans on the line, most notably in Trent Brown’s newfound flag-happiness, and first-round rookie guard Cole Strange put forth a mixed performance. Bringing in an actual offensive line coach gives the team the best chance to fix any issues that showed in ‘22 and to develop their young linemen.
Of course, coaching was not the only issue last season, as New England was criticized for their lack of talent on the roster. Of New England’s high-cash free agent class of 2021, only edge rusher Matthew Judon shined in both his seasons in Foxboro: neither tight end Jonnu Smith nor wideout Nelson Agholor ever got off the ground, tight end Hunter Henry regressed after a solid ‘21, and wideout Kendrick Bourne found himself suddenly in Patricia’s doghouse and off the field. Moves needed to be made as the calendar turned to free agency.
Notable Departures
S Devin McCourty (retired) The most prominent departure from the ‘22 squad, McCourty is one of many who can be termed a quintessential Patriot. A first-round cornerback out of Rutgers in 2010, D-Mac made the switch to safety in 2012 and locked down the position for the next decade. When he was on the verge of leaving the team in free agency in 2015, even reaching out to Belichick to say goodbye, Belichick signed him to a top-valued safety contract and kept him in red, white, and blue. His leadership and personality made him a joy to watch on the field and off, his personality showing itself especially well recently through interactions with his twin brother Jason, who played alongside him for the Patriots from 2018 to ‘20. Statistically, D-Mac ends his career with 35 interceptions, one shy of the franchise record, and 4 touchdowns (two picks, a kickoff return, and a blocked field goal return). We miss him already.
P Jake Bailey (released; signed with Miami) What a drop. After an All-Pro season in 2020, Bailey signed a four-year extension in 2022 only to become the worst statistical punter in the league. After he was injured, the Patriots brought in Michael Palardy, who managed to be even worse (personally, I blame the team’s curse that comes with the jersey number 17). Neither punter remains with the team, Bailey joining an AFC East rival in the Dolphins and Palardy currently unsigned.
TE Jonnu Smith (traded to Atlanta) There is a strong case to be made that Smith is the worst free agency signing Belichick has made as Pats GM. In the two years since inking a 4-year, $50 million deal, Smith totaled just 55 catches for 539 yards and one touchdown, and a ‘22 restructure of his contract meant that Smith appeared to be a monetary albatross the Patriots would not be able to shake loose. What led to Atlanta agreeing to take on his whole contract, sending New England a seventh-round pick to get the player, I have no idea, but I think every Pats fan would agree that Smith didn’t work out in the least and a change was best for all sides.
WR Jakobi Meyers (signed with Las Vegas) Meyers’ departure was somewhat shocking, as the 2019 UDFA had worked his way up to the top of the Patriots’ wide receiver depth chart. More of a big slot guy than an outside #1, Meyers had a minor role in his rookie season and started 2020 at the bottom of the depth chart, but injuries to the players above him got him onto the field, and a 12-catch, 169-yard performance against the Jets that November meant he wasn’t leaving it anytime soon. While not possessing top-tier speed or explosiveness, Meyers was the team’s best route runner and separator, and his departure left another void that needed to be filled.
QB Brian Hoyer (released, signed with Las Vegas) Hoyer was third on the depth chart, Zappe having shown enough to take the #2 spot. While a fine veteran mentor, the Patriots chose to go a different direction with that third QB role.
WR Nelson Agholor (signed with Baltimore) Agholor was given a two-year contract in 2021 with the anticipation of his being the #1 receiver, something which did not happen due to his unreliable hands and separation abilities. For those two years and $22 million, Agholor produced 68 catches, 835 yards, and five touchdowns. Not worth it.
RB Damien Harris (signed with Buffalo) By far the most productive member of the Patriots’ atrocious 2019 draft class, Harris was good in New England but had been passed on the depth chart by sophomore Rhamondre Stevenson midway through 2022. Couple that with Belichick’s predilection to let running backs walk instead of giving them second contracts, sprinkle in a dash of two ‘22 draft picks (Pierre Strong Jr. and Kevin Harris) who will get more opportunities in 2023, top it off with the return of Ty Montgomery II from injured reserve, and it’s no surprise that Harris is no longer a Patriot.
T Isaiah Wynn (signed with Miami) Another former first-round pick, Wynn was all right as a left tackle though was criticized for frequent injury problems; with his fifth-year option picked up for ‘22, he was inexplicably switched to right tackle, where he was very bad. He never really earned the role of franchise tackle, so it was expected that the Patriots would let him walk.
But on the upside, the team now has:
Additions
WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (via Kansas City) After Meyers signed with the Raiders, the Patriots worked quickly to bring in his replacement in the slot. Smith-Schuster revived his career in Kansas City and is now in position to be a primary target for Mac for the next three seasons, possessing more explosiveness and speed than his predecessor. The biggest concern with JuJu is his durability, but I believe the Patriots have made preparations in the draft (spoiler) in case that becomes a significant problem. The fanbase is excited for Smith-Schuster on the field in Foxboro, and deservedly so.
RB James Robinson (via New York (the green side)) A one-time breakout UDFA in Jacksonville, Robinson’s role diminished with the rise of Travis Etienne Jr.; after being traded to the Jets, Robinson never got settled into a role. In New England, Robinson is likely first in line for the #2 RB spot behind Stevenson, an important role given that Stevenson’s overwork saw his productivity decline as last season came to an end. Robinson also possesses the pass-catching versatility that Belichick loves, a role Harris was never used in but Stevenson is, further suggesting he can have a significant spot on the field for the Pats.
TE Mike Gesicki (via Miami) As Smith never worked out as the co-#1 TE, here comes Gesicki. A pure pass catcher at the position, Gesicki has the size and hands to be a reliable target in the red zone, and should pair nicely with Henry for a potential TE-heavy formation as the team approaches the goal line.
T Riley Reiff (via Chicago) T Calvin Anderson (via Denver) While neither comes with the contract expectation of being a long-term solution at either tackle spot, the hope is that Reiff (expected to start at RT) will be an upgrade over Wynn, while Anderson serves as a reliable swing tackle who can start if needed.
LB Chris Board Jr. (via Detroit) Remember that awful special teams unit? Board is one of the NFL’s top special teamers, a player Belichick singled out when New England faced the Lions last year. It’s unsurprising he brought in such a veteran to help solidify the unit after… just all of last year.
QB Trace McSorley (via Arizona) By bringing in McSorley in Hoyer’s stead, the team is showing a bit of a shift in philosophy with how it is using its backup QB spots. Both Mac and Zappe are pocket passers; McSorley does most of his work outside the pocket and can run with regularity, a trend more common among top-level quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. At minimum, he’s worth a camp spot, and that’s fine.
P Corliss Waitman (via Denver) Following the implosion of Bailey and Palardy at punter, the Patriots were on the verge of entering the draft with none on the roster. Waitman is a veteran addition there, but pretty much everyone expected New England to add a punter either as a draft pick or UDFA. (Another spoiler – my bad.)
After this free agency, many saw the Patriots as still having holes at the top of their depth chart at wideout, tackle, and cornerback. Tight end was also considered a need as New England, despite adding Gesicki to pair with Henry, does not have a tight end signed beyond 2023, entering the draft with only Matt Sokol and Scotty Washington behind their name duo.
Then they went on the clock, entering the draft with:
1-14 2-46 3-76 4-107 4-117 4-135 6-184 6-187 6-192 6-210 7-245
Here’s how it all went down.
Draft Picks
TRADE: 1-14 to PIT for 1-17 and 4-120 Although this trade was criticized for receiving too little back from Pittsburgh, it was not a major loss in capital according to the Rich Hill value chart (325 points to PIT, 320 to NE), and it came with enough high-level talent on the board that the Patriots were sure to get one of their targets. The way the board fell, fans most wanted Christian Gonzalez, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Zay Flowers, or Broderick Jones; when the Steelers took Jones, it became clear that the Patriots were not interested in him (reports came out that the Patriots had not been interested in Jones at all due to coachability concerns), but they were sure to land an exciting player after moving down only three spots rather than the seven-plus many mockers had predicted. Additionally, the Steelers landing Jones appeared to knock the Jets’ war room for a loop (though later video has shown that the Jets were expecting the trade), and the only thing New England fans love more than a victory is an opportunity to screw over the Jets.
1-17: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon The Patriots’ selection of Gonzalez received universal acclaim, and it’s easy to see why. Despite having strong CB depth, the Patriots lacked a true #1 corner; Gonzalez has the ability, length, and athleticism to be that from Day One. The first-round pick via Colorado and Oregon was widely projected as a top-10 selection, so for New England to land him at 17 is a tremendous coup. From his interviews and his play style, Gonzalez seems like a quiet guy off the field who wants to shut the opponent down when on the turf. He’ll be fun to watch.
2-46: Keion White, ED, Georgia Tech White is another player falling under the new Patriots draft umbrella under Belichick and Matt Groh: as athletic as can be. While he is raw, White has the athleticism to play three downs along the defensive line and the versatility to move inside when the situation calls for it. The Patriots thought so highly of him that he was a player they were considering drafting in the first round, even considering a move back into the last picks of the round to snag him, but landed him at 46 anyway. How much he will play as a rookie is uncertain as New England has a very good edge duo in Matthew Judon and Josh Uche, but even if White has to take a year to get acclimated to the NFL, that’s not unheard of in Foxboro and has produced success for highly-touted picks: neither Nate Solder (first round) nor Trey Flowers (fourth round) took on long-term starting roles as rookies (though Solder filled in at right tackle plenty), but were established starters in their second years. Similarly, Uche (second round) started off as an occasionally-used part of a pass rushing rotation before hitting double-digit sacks last year, his third season in the league. And if White earns significant playing time in 2023, all the better.
3-76: Marte Mapu, LB, Sacramento State* Here’s that small-school selection that detractors tend to point at regarding Belichick, but Mapu has elite potential. I got tipped off to Mapu late in the pre-draft cycle, and watching film of him I was reminded a lot of Kyle Dugger, another small-school Day 2 player who has turned into an excellent Patriot. Mapu is going to play linebacker, likely his best position, and fill the role of coverage ‘backer that New England has lacked for several seasons. He’s also athletic and scheme-versatile, having spent time at safety and linebacker while at Sacramento State, so he will be able to move around the defensive formation if the situation calls for it. Add to that his tackling, his closing speed, and his containment, and you’ve got yourself a potential stud.
4-107: Jake Andrews, C, Troy The Patriots need their future long-term center with David Andrews now 31 and having an injury history, and Jake Andrews (unrelated) is set up perfectly to be that guy. Andrews the Younger is built in the same mold as Andrews the Elder: both exited college as smaller in stature than other centers but able to get a push on defensive linemen from below, meaning Jake can easily learn specific bits of technique from David. While not expected to play the role immediately, [anagram: Ned Was a Jerk] is now in position to spend time behind [anagram: Swan Diver Dad], preparing himself to take over at center in the near future.
TRADE: 4-120 and 6-184 to NYJ for 4-112 4-112: Chad Ryland, K, Maryland This is not the first time Belichick has selected a kicker in the fourth round, selecting Stephen Gostkowski with pick 118 in 2006; with the Patriots in desperate need for a strong player at the position, moving up to make sure they could land him makes sense (especially with Jake Moody being selected by the 49ers at 3-99). And Ryland is what Nick Folk is not: a big-legged kicker with kickoff ability. Folk has been appreciated in New England for his accuracy, but his distance and accuracy notably declined in 2022, and when forced to kick off, his lack of touchback distance led to trouble, the Patriots surrendering a league-high three kick return touchdowns (including two in the season finale). It’s clear an upgrade at kicker was a requirement this offseason; with Moody gone, giving up a sixth to move up eight spots is absolutely fine. In doing so, New England has hopefully landed their kicker for the next decade.
4-117: Sidy Sow, G, Eastern Michigan At this point, it may be considered confusing for the Patriots to have drafted a left guard in Sow when last year’s first-round pick Cole Strange is entrenched there and Mike Onwenu mans right guard at an elite level, but Groh’s post-draft comments indicated the team would give Sow opportunities at left tackle as well. And not only does Sow have experience at left tackle, he has the size at 6’5” and 326 pounds. New England’s projected starting tackles are veterans Trent Brown and Riley Reiff, both of whom are over 30 and are in contract years; if Sow returns to the position, the former mauling EMU Eagle (heh, two birds) offensive lineman could ease the need at tackle for next offseason.
TRADE: 4-135 to LV for 5-144 and 6-214 5-144: Atonio Mafi, G, UCLA Another interior lineman? Yes. Mafi is a guard whom the Patriots worked with at the Shrine Bowl, and has the versatility to move between left and right guard. As the aforementioned Onwenu is in a contract year, Mafi has a clear path to a potential starting job in 2024, and the most important thing right now for the development of Mac Jones is keeping him upright. By selecting three offensive linemen – using a quarter of their 12 selections on the offensive trench – Belichick and Groh have signaled their intent to do just that. From all accounts, Mafi, who met with New England in a pre-draft visit, is thrilled to join the team; now it’s about proving it on the field.
6-187: Kayshon Boutte, WR, LSU Boutte is the epitome of a boom-or-bust prospect, his elite 2020 and ‘21 being overshadowed by a disappointing 2022 that dropped him from clear first-rounder to a middle-of-Day-3 selection. As a freshman and sophomore, Boutte looked to follow in the footsteps of highly-drafted LSU wideouts such as Odell Beckham Jr., Justin Jefferson, and JaMarr Chase, showing a complete package of agility, speed, and route running. Unfortunately, an injury plus conflicts with his new coach Brian Kelly led to underperformance, and a poor combine performance cemented his draft stock as having drastically fallen. But if he can get back to his earlier form, where his talent and athleticism led to a combined 83 receptions, 1244 yards, and 14 touchdowns in his first two college seasons, Boutte could become the steal of the draft.
6-192: Bryce Baringer, P, Michigan State While New England had signed Corliss Waitman so as to have a punter on the roster heading into the draft, none assumed he was the long-term answer; when the Patriots made Baringer the first punter taken in the 2023 draft, it became clear who was. A walk-on turned cut turned best punter in college football, Baringer has a booming leg that showed itself in an average punt length of 49.0 yards in ‘22; he also holds the Michigan State record for career punting average at 46.0 yards. As a bonus, he worked with Ryland at the Senior Bowl, so the two have already begun to develop chemistry in the holding game. As another bonus, he wore No. 99 in college, and that is awesome.
6-210: Demario Douglas, WR, Liberty When one imagines a typical Patriots slot receiver – small, shifty, and explosive with the ball in his hands – one might well be imagining Douglas. The five-foot-eight Liberty product can absolutely fly, moving all around the formation and catching balls at all levels of the field. New Englanders got a preview of what Douglas’ game might look like when rookie cornerback Marcus Jones began to take snaps on offense last year; Jones was often put in motion before the snap, worked out of the backfield, and assigned touches where his elusiveness was the spark to gain yards. Douglas has said he models his game after Jones, a claim that demonstrates itself when one views his collegiate tape. I had a third-round grade on Douglas, so the Patriots landing him at 210 is a thrill. (Even though the Giants took one of my draft crushes in Tre Hawkins III the pick before, for which I’m still irked.)
6-214: Ameer Speed, CB, Michigan State The unknown about Speed is whether he will develop on defense; that is not his skill at the moment. There are three things known: his size (6’3”, 210 lbs.), his speed (4.34s 40), and his special teams prowess. With longtime special teams captain Matthew Slater likely entering his last year, the Patriots need to develop a new crop of special teams standouts, long a hallmark of Belichick’s Patriots from the time of Larry Izzo. Last year’s UDFA Brenden Schooler looks like one of those players already; Speed will certainly be given every chance possible to be another.
7-245: Isaiah Bolden, CB, Jackson State More tall athletic cornerbacks! The only HBCU selection in the 2023 draft, Bolden is an incredible athlete who likely earned his way to a draft selection by lighting up his Pro Day. Though just a role player on defense, Bolden has developmental traits that any defensive coach would love, and has also been a top collegiate kick returner, leading all of college football in 2021 with a 36.9-yard average on kickoff returns. I don’t see the two late-round cornerback selections as “throw players on the field and see who sticks” à la the ill-fated dual tight end picks of Devin Asiasi and Dalton Keene in 2020’s third round, but selecting players who might have longer chances to succeed, but if they do succeed can truly shine.
Though Bolden was the last of the Patriots’ 2023 draft picks, that did not conclude their rookie class as the period of UDFA signings immediately began. The Patriots have had an undrafted rookie make the Week 1 roster every year since 2004; with just a four-man class this season, chances are slim. They’re not impossible – their only 2021 UDFA, kicker Quinn Nordin, made it – but they’re definitely slimmer. Here are the four who can continue that streak.
Undrafted Rookies
Malik Cunningham, QB, Louisville The most expensive ($200,000) and well-known of the quartet, Cunningham’s slight build and arm as a quarterback led to piles of speculation of his switching positions. However, he has started off his Patriots tenure as a quarterback in rookie minicamp, so he remains a quarterback until further notice. Throughout college, Cunningham’s most intriguing asset has been his supreme athleticism at the position, something which showed up in testing, and it remains to be seen how the Patriots will use that athleticism to help the team. (It may be a good while until outside sources get a look, as minicamp and OTAs have thus far been closed off to the media.)
Johnny Lumpkin, TE, Louisiana-Lafayette After foregoing using a selection on a tight end in a deep draft class (another Belichick trend), New England instead brought in Lumpkin, who projects as a blocking tight end in the NFL. This offsets the biggest negative, his age (he’ll be 26 to start the season), as the Patriots lack a true blocker at the position. Whether Lumpkin can take advantage of this path to a roster spot remains to be seen, but his road to making the team as an undrafted rookie seems easiest at the moment.
Jourdan Heilig, LB, Appalachian State Like Board and Speed, Heilig joins the Patriots as a special teams standout, playing minimal defense as a Mountaineer (three snaps in 2022) but standing out in college on the third unit (210 snaps in 2022). He’ll have a chance to follow in the path of Schooler as a UDFA who makes his mark as a core special teamer.
Justus Tavai, DL, San Diego State The middle of the Tavai brothers (older brother Jahlani is a Patriots linebacker, younger brother Jonah signed with Seattle as a UDFA), Justus played alongside Jonah on the Aztec defensive line in 2022. While Jonah put up eye-popping numbers with double-digit sacks, Justus was a steady contributor as well, putting up 3.5 sacks and intercepting a pass. Tavai is the ninth man on the Patriots’ defensive line right now, so he has a difficult path if he wants to make the team.
He’s not an undrafted rookie, but the Patriots have also brought in veteran free agent Anthony Firsker, TE to compete with Lumpkin, Sokol, and Washington for the third tight end spot, the roster spot opened with their losing reserve Raekwon McMillan, LB to a partially torn Achilles tendon.
Projected Offseason Depth Chart (italics = rookie, (in parentheses = exclusively or primarily a special teamer)) (Note: the Patriots assign temporary jersey numbers in the offseason starting with 50 based mainly on draft position.)
QB 10 Mac Jones 4 Bailey Zappe 19 Trace McSorley 64 Malik Cunningham
RB 38 Rhamondre Stevenson 3 James Robinson 14 Ty Montgomery II 35 Pierre Strong Jr. 36 Kevin Harris 42 J.J. Taylor
WR 1 DeVante Parker 7 JuJu Smith-Schuster 84 Kendrick Bourne 11 Tyquan Thornton 58 Kayshon Boutte 60 Demario Douglas 82 Tre Nixon (44 Raleigh Webb) (18 Matthew Slater)
TE 85 Hunter Henry 88 Mike Gesicki 86 Anthony Firsker 87 Matt Sokol 17 Scotty Washington 65 Johnny Lumpkin
T 77 Trent Brown 74 Riley Reiff 76 Calvin Anderson 75 Conor McDermott 64 Andrew Stueber
G 71 Mike Onwenu 69 Cole Strange 54 Sidy Sow 55 Atonio Mafi 63 Chasen Hines 62 Bill Murray
C 60 David Andrews 53 Jake Andrews 65 James Ferentz 66 Kody Russey
DL 90 Christian Barmore 92 Davon Godchaux 91 Deatrich Wise Jr. 93 Lawrence Guy Sr. 95 Daniel Ekuale 98 Carl Davis Jr. 96 Sam Roberts 70 Jeremiah Pharms Jr. 67 Justus Tavai
ED 9 Matthew Judon 55 Josh Uche 51 Keion White 58 Anfernee Jennings (97 DaMarcus Mitchell) 51 Ronnie Perkins
LB 8 Ja’Whaun Bentley 48 Jahlani Tavai 52 Marte Mapu 30 Mack Wilson Sr. (45 Chris Board Jr.) 43 Calvin Munson 59 Terez Hall 47 Olakunle Fatukasi (66 Jourdan Heilig)
CB 50 Christian Gonzalez 31 Jonathan Jones 13 Jack Jones 25 Marcus Jones 27 Myles Bryant (61 Ameer Speed) 63 Isaiah Bolden 37 Tae Hayes 26 Shaun Wade 34 Quandre Mosely 39 Rodney Randle Jr.
S 23 Kyle Dugger 5 Jabrill Peppers 2 Jalen Mills 21 Adrian Phillips 24 Joshuah Bledsoe (41 Brenden Schooler) (22 Cody Davis) 29 Brad Hawkins
K 62 Chad Ryland 6 Nick Folk
P 59 Bryce Baringer 15 Corliss Waitman
LS 49 Joe Cardona 46 Tucker Addington
Conclusion Is this a perfect Patriots team? No. There are still long-term holes at offensive tackle and tight end, and there is a question mark as to who can be that pass catcher whom defensive coordinators have to plan for, a player the team has lacked for several seasons.
But is this an exciting Patriots roster, a team who has a chance to exceed their middling projections and expectations, a team worth watching and cheering for? Absolutely. Belichick and company have stabilized the coaching staff; added explosive, athletic players at nearly every position; brought in a new crew of players to take over special teams; and begun their draft with three players who could not only start in the NFL but have the potential to star. I fully believe that this is not an 8-9 caliber team, even in an AFC East with three other teams that have added big name after big name.
As Bill Belichick might say, we’re on to 2023.
We’re on to victory.

Apologies if this should be elsewhere but hopefully very quick question.
First time doing SA after becoming ‘accidental landlord’.
When working out my income and deductible expenses, am I correct in assuming I should pro rata it all? Ie landlord insurance purchased July 2022 ending July 2023. So I pro rata it and carry some of the expense into next year ( which would then have two insurance policy costs pro rata, one May to July, one July to April). Or so I just put the whole premium cost on this year
Also, how do I work out the mortgage interest for the relevant period (again, July to April). I can only get yearly statement of Interest and can broadly work out a pro rata amount , but aware there will be a small difference in how much of the monthly repayment is interest and how much is principal?
Thanks

Excerpt: "To what degree would Washington even be interested in a negotiated resolution to the war in Ukraine? After all, a good deal of evidence suggests that the administration’s real—if only semi-acknowledged—objective is to topple Russia’s government. The draconian sanctions that the United States imposed on Russia were designed to crash its economy. As the New York Times reported, these sanctions have ignited questions in Washington and in European capitals over whether cascading events in Russia could lead to “regime change,” or rulership collapse, which President Biden and European leaders are careful to avoid mentioning.
By repeatedly labeling Putin a “war criminal” and a murderous dictator, President Biden (using the same febrile rhetoric that his predecessors deployed against Noriega, Milošević, Qaddafi, and Saddam Hussein) has circumscribed Washington’s diplomatic options, rendering regime change the war’s only acceptable outcome. Diplomacy requires an understanding of an adversary’s interests and motives and an ability to make judicious compromises. But by assuming a Manichaean view of world politics, as has become Washington’s reflexive posture, “compromise, the virtue of the old diplomacy, becomes the treason of the new,” as the foreign policy scholar Hans Morgenthau put it, “for the mutual accommodation of conflicting claims . . . amounts to surrender when the moral standards themselves are the stakes of the conflict.”
Washington, then, will not entertain an end to the conflict until Russia is handed a decisive defeat. Echoing previous comments by Biden, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin declared in April 2022 that the goal is to weaken Russia militarily. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has repeatedly dismissed the idea of negotiating, insisting that Moscow is not serious about peace. For its part, Kyiv has indicated that it will settle for nothing less than the return of all Ukrainian territory occupied by Russia, including Crimea. Ukraine’s foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba has endorsed the strategy of applying enough military pressure on Russia to induce its political collapse.
Of course, the same momentum pushing toward a war in pursuit of overweening ends catapults Washington into pursuing a war employing unlimited means, an impulse encapsulated in the formula, endlessly invoked by Washington policymakers and politicians: “Whatever it takes, for as long as it takes.” As the United States and its NATO allies pour ever more sophisticated weapons onto the battlefield, Moscow will likely be compelled (from military necessity, if not from popular domestic pressure) to interdict the lines of communication that convey these weapons shipments to Ukraine’s forces, which could lead to a direct clash with NATO forces. More importantly, as Russian casualties inevitably mount, animosity toward the West will intensify. A strategy guided by “whatever it takes, for as long as it takes” vastly increases the risk of accidents and escalation.
https://harpers.org/archive/2023/06/why-are-we-in-ukraine/

I wanted to share a bit about my business journey and get some valuable advice from you all. Back in April 2022, I took a plunge into the world of international transport, focusing on imports and exports in a unique niche. Initially, I had two directors on board, but things didn't work out due to conflicts over roles and a lack of support during a tough period when my wife was battling breast cancer. So now, it's just me running the show.
Despite the challenges, I'm proud to say that my business has shown remarkable growth. We've achieved a turnover of £1.1m, with a decent profit of £140k and valuable assets worth over £260k. Our office team is solid, and we have clear goals that we effectively communicate to everyone involved.
Now, I find myself at a critical juncture as we face tenders that could secure us work for the next year. Here's where I need your input: Should I aim for rapid expansion, taking on more work in Year 2 and adjusting our cash flows accordingly? Or should I play it safe, sticking to our current position and focusing on building up our financial reserves?
I'd genuinely appreciate your insights and experiences if you've been in a similar situation. How did you navigate the decision-making process when it came to growing your own business? What factors did you consider? Are there any pitfalls I should be aware of and avoid? Please share your honest thoughts and advice.

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Создание бизнес презентации в PowerPoint с нуля
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Three years of progress all gone in the click of a button from a mysterious third-party. I was in shock because I got this email almost 3 hours after celebrating my 15th birthday. How could this happen? And more precisely, what could I do about it?
I simply hadn't prepared for this type of scenario and hadn't had any of my videos backed up due to the fact that I simply had no storage to contain it all.
I wasn't going to break down and feel sorry for myself, that's for sure. 250 subscribers, 10,000 views, 100-or something watch hours, I could've done better anyway.
I started my new channel only a couple of weeks ago and realized I have a ton or road blocks ahead. How would I make sure i didn't make the same mistake as my old videos?
I evaluated my time on YouTube.
Firstly, I put myself back to my 2020-2021 mindset. I only posted what i WANTED to post. What I thought I LOVED making. This worked; in the short term. But then I realized, I wanted to expand on other projects. Suddenly, I had gotten to a point in 2022 where I was amassing over 200 views on launch day (although this may not seem a lot to you, it's quite large to me), in comparison to 2021 where I was getting near 100 views within launch day and the day after.
Then, I started getting serious. I loved this platform and dedicated as much time as I could toward it. I started picking up inspirations, that weren't necessarily inspirations. For example, Dani. Most of you know him, a speedy game dev that makes funny videos. His form of content was EXACTLY what I was going for. I compared my content with his, and it was such an awful idea. Comparing 2 vastly different people in terms of workload, schedules and circumstances is just not good in general.
In 2023, my mental health started being affected. Every video from January to March was posted as if I had an AMAZING time making and posting it, but truth is, I never liked the analytics. Everytime I posted, my mental health went down the drain. 3 to 7 days of me just feeling absolutely awful because A video didn't perform as expected. I mean, they did, but I expected more. This was the turning point. I had NEVER wanted to expect views and subscribers. I had this mindset from the start, and it somehow slipped away gradually. And suddenly, my final video before deletion on YouTube launched. It was the WORST PERFORMING VIDEO EVER. I thought it was absolutely spectacular, but on the other side, it was gaining no attention whatsoever. My mind somehow convinced me to think that I simply wasn't doing enough, even though at that point I was upping my workload from 4 hours a week (2020), to 5 hours a week (2021), then 7 hours a week in 2022, and 15 hours a week in 2023. That's at least 60 hours of work put into such a "mediocre video".
I stepped away from the platform for two months. I came back to see thinga the day after my birthday, And i was stopped by a "this channel doesn't exist" message, and thought it was all over. Dude, I won't lie to you, I was defeated by this point. I never thought i could ever harness this type of emotion for a literal video platform. I broke down.
But enough about that. I picked myself up. I started a new channel the same day, and took to all my social medias to gain some kind of short-term following while I go work on a new video. But this time I had prepared for the worst. No videos yet, and it's been 2 months since my last video (April), how come? Well, I started upping EVERY ASPECT of my channel. The character, the energy, the LIFE, the titles, and even the thumbnails. I wanted to create thumbnails that captured what I put so much work into. I was working on thumbnails for my old videos back in the old channel before deletion. I loved creating thumbnails after this point, and couldn't stop.
Anyway, I had three ideas. All of which rose and fell as my confidence in them suceeding was a low. I loved the ideas, but I wanted to start my new channel on a completely fresh note. But I need to be careful. I have exams to prepare for next year. I won't have time to create a new video, and that means I need to wait an immense amount of time. But still, I wanted to absolutely stun everyone that I could match up to channels with millions of following. I have so much time to choose what my first video will be, and an immense amount of time to make it. I don't know how I'll do it, but I'm incredibly excited. I'll always remember what my old channel taught me. To create vibrant thumbnails, to put passion in what I create, enjoy what I create, and never give up.
I enjoy this platform and honestly hope I never stop.